PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Xhhh-060ololololololololo00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (21–22, n=43)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12121–12955, n=25076)
Consensus PnL—$217K$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #879was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #19Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position48% (14 of 29 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 141 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%96% of 26 at avg 59¢, ROI +21%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 67% of 9)12% (won 67% of 3)0%10% (won 56% of 2452)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 74% of 19)27% (won 100% of 7)0%22% (won 94% of 5319)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 97% of 36)23% (won 100% of 6)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8623)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 77)38% (won 100% of 10)0%31% (won 100% of 7308)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.