← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| X1234567 | carlaAB | 0x50f7 | machinelearned | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 62% (112–68, n=180) | 81% (31563–7342, n=38905) | 65% (2206–1190, n=3396) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.4K | $562K | $35K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #319 | PM monthly #578 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −17 pts, n=14 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15% | 72% of 311 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 24% of 21) | 14% (won 18% of 3904) | 3% (won 64% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 12% (won 50% of 36) | 3% (won 100% of 787) | 6% (won 93% of 75) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 23% (won 61% of 71) | 6% (won 100% of 1765) | 28% (won 100% of 360) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 59% (won 86% of 183) | 77% (won 100% of 21661) | 63% (won 100% of 818) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | X1234567 | carlaAB | 0x50f7 | machinelearned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET same side · consensus Up | — | — | Down $48 | Down $68 |