PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (112–68, n=180)81% (31563–7342, n=38905)81% (1223–295, n=1518)
Consensus PnL—$3.4K$562K$127K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996Hand-pickedPM monthly #319was PM monthly #799
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +7 pts n=28117, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
Weakest topic—Finance −17 pts, n=14—NBA −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%72% of 311 at avg 68¢, ROI +7%89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 24% of 21)14% (won 18% of 3904)11% (won 45% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 50% of 36)3% (won 100% of 787)11% (won 72% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢0%23% (won 61% of 71)6% (won 100% of 1765)16% (won 89% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)59% (won 86% of 183)77% (won 100% of 21661)63% (won 97% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.