← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| X1234567 | carlaAB | melganis | 0010001000001100 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 62% (112–68, n=180) | 79% (1030–277, n=1307) | 81% (1223–295, n=1518) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.4K | $55K | $127K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #799 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 73% (30 of 41 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −17 pts, n=14 | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | NBA −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15% | 72% of 311 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 24% of 21) | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 11% (won 45% of 155) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 12% (won 50% of 36) | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 11% (won 72% of 159) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 23% (won 61% of 71) | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 16% (won 89% of 232) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 59% (won 86% of 183) | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 63% (won 97% of 911) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.