PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winninghumblyt89e4ygf60xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140imnice
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)88% (35–5, n=40)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$15K$1.2M$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #815was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #77was PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)0%17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)47% (won 100% of 15)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)31% (won 100% of 10)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)22% (won 100% of 7)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.