PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...eschaworldchampion2026Vps1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (15–17, n=32)92% (175–15, n=190)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$927K$54K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #384PM monthly #139Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position58% (96 of 165 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=66, ROI −3%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—51% of 74 at avg 40¢, ROI +1%96% of 45 at avg 84¢, ROI +32%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 33% of 24)4% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—39% (won 55% of 29)9% (won 75% of 4)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 59% of 17)11% (won 80% of 5)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 4)76% (won 100% of 34)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.