PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tysha0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (24–3, n=27)49% (1213–1271, n=2484)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$11K$60K$434K
Tracked asPM monthly #789was PM monthly #999Hand-pickedPM monthly #901
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 67% of 3)24% (won 19% of 254)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 75% of 4)23% (won 40% of 241)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 90% of 10)29% (won 70% of 304)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 88% of 8)24% (won 89% of 250)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.