PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyshaAllByMyseIfballena0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (100–74, n=174)42% (5–7, n=12)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$564K$9.9K$434K
Tracked asPM monthly #789PM monthly #471 + pinnedPM monthly #341PM monthly #901
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)64% (14 of 22 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—88% of 736 at avg 77¢, ROI +7%63% of 8 at avg 42¢, ROI +8%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 31% of 89)38% (won 0% of 3)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 79% of 38)13% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 88% of 69)50% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up—73% (won 99% of 540)0%2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.