PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tysha0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-177065824271001258787xy48487484545122Parkan312
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)92% (72–6, n=78)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$60K$329K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #789Hand-pickedPM monthly #98was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)25% (3 of 12 open)100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +7 pts n=51, ROI +10%
  • MMA +16 pts n=21, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%94% of 77 at avg 83¢, ROI +10%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)5% (won 25% of 4)35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)5% (won 75% of 4)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)8% (won 83% of 6)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)82% (won 100% of 63)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTysha0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-177065824271001258787xy48487484545122Parkan312
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $397—Yes $10K—