PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tyshayen4uhi774c0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (654–64, n=718)57% (3351–2542, n=5893)95% (456–22, n=478)
Consensus PnL—$67K$195K-$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #789PM monthly #596PM monthly #112was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)89% (42 of 47 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won—94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 26% of 27)7% (won 100% of 226)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 57% of 14)55% (won 100% of 1675)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 80% of 30)32% (won 100% of 967)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—88% (won 99% of 542)6% (won 99% of 198)99% (won 98% of 445)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.