PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tyshayen4uhi774crogerveer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (654–64, n=718)57% (3351–2542, n=5893)47% (20–23, n=43)
Consensus PnL—$67K$195K-$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #789PM monthly #596PM monthly #112was PM monthly #859
Sides with the consensus61% (22 of 36 open)89% (42 of 47 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%95% of 22 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 26% of 27)7% (won 100% of 226)0%
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 57% of 14)55% (won 100% of 1675)23% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 80% of 30)32% (won 100% of 967)68% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 70¢ and up—88% (won 99% of 542)6% (won 99% of 198)9% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.