PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyshaCentralCastingdiceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (45–4, n=49)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—$450K$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #789was PM monthly #439was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus73% (27 of 37 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—95% of 44 at avg 58¢, ROI +26%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 96% of 25)25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—18% (won 100% of 8)74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 91% of 11)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.