PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)38% (130–213, n=343)88% (238–31, n=269)65% (396–216, n=612)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$18K$48K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863PM monthly #603was PM monthly #673PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +38 pts n=26, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=138, ROI +9%
  • NBA +16 pts n=56, ROI +9%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=45—Finance −8 pts, n=42—
Settled positions, side won51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%92% of 252 at avg 71¢, ROI +21%63% of 593 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 34% of 77)0%5% (won 29% of 28)0%
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 54% of 177)11% (won 70% of 27)14% (won 40% of 83)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 33)32% (won 94% of 80)44% (won 55% of 258)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)58% (won 95% of 145)38% (won 85% of 224)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.