PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062ethanazGr33d0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)38% (130–213, n=343)64% (615–340, n=955)88% (2298–315, n=2613)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$629K$37K$7.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863was PM monthly #46Hand-pickedPM monthly #710
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +38 pts n=26, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=138, ROI +9%
  • NBA +16 pts n=56, ROI +9%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −7 pts, n=45—NFL −7 pts, n=53—
Settled positions, side won51% of 290 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%100% of 633 at avg 61¢, ROI +35%92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 34% of 77)5% (won 100% of 30)3% (won 14% of 107)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 54% of 177)27% (won 99% of 168)1% (won 48% of 44)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 33)36% (won 100% of 231)5% (won 59% of 168)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)32% (won 100% of 204)91% (won 98% of 3112)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.