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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Sosneobeachboy40x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGII
Record (consensus markets)42% (13–18, n=31)68% (43–20, n=63)46% (131–154, n=285)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$38K$5.8M$19.0M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #866was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won36% of 22 at avg 38¢, ROI −10%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 0% of 9)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 40% of 5)30% (won 57% of 63)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 60% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.