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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlavaUkrainiBreakTheBanksainttroplaybeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)68% (13–6, n=19)45% (502–616, n=1118)71% (10–4, n=14)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL$24K$11.1M$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlavaUkrainiBreakTheBanksainttroplaybeachboy4
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $98KYes $265K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $310KNo $347——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38KYes $4.8K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.0KNo $13K——