PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RayderrVRVTeamBlackMoney70010001000001100
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market85% (17–3, n=20)81% (1223–295, n=1518)
Consensus PnL——$23K$127K
Tracked asPM monthly #963was PM monthly #975PM monthly #885was PM monthly #799
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
Weakest topic———NBA −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 35¢, ROI +60%52% of 65 at avg 27¢, ROI +5%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢0%57% (won 41% of 37)10% (won 100% of 2)11% (won 45% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢100% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 57% of 21)35% (won 71% of 7)11% (won 72% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢0%8% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 10)16% (won 89% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up0%3% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 1)63% (won 97% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.