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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RanaAmariPredictsSisyphus-SlavaUkrainiWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (454–18, n=472)78% (107–31, n=138)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL—$648K$960K$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #901PM monthly #315PM monthly #106PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%75% of 138 at avg 65¢, ROI +4%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 82% of 17)19% (won 23% of 26)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 97% of 112)12% (won 59% of 17)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 99% of 224)15% (won 81% of 21)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 110)54% (won 96% of 74)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.