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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RanaAmariPredictsSineNooneEISisyphus-SlavaUkraini
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (471–42, n=513)96% (454–18, n=472)78% (107–31, n=138)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$648K$960K
Tracked asPM monthly #908PM monthly #110PM monthly #314PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%75% of 138 at avg 65¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 83% of 23)4% (won 82% of 17)19% (won 23% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 88% of 182)24% (won 97% of 112)12% (won 59% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 93% of 224)48% (won 99% of 224)15% (won 81% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—16% (won 99% of 82)24% (won 100% of 110)54% (won 96% of 74)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.