PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)89% (448–56, n=504)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)65% (316–170, n=486)
Consensus PnL$144K$9.6M$26.8M$76K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #985PM monthly #133was PM monthly #294
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———Tennis −2 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%67% of 337 at avg 57¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 81% of 37)9% (won 94% of 286)15% (won 35% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢0%39% (won 85% of 197)11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 58% of 73)
Entries 50–70¢0%49% (won 94% of 244)22% (won 99% of 697)31% (won 60% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 80% of 10)5% (won 96% of 24)58% (won 100% of 1787)32% (won 95% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.