PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Philwost89e4ygf6imnice0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)86% (63–10, n=73)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$15K$4.7K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #773was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #900was PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 85¢, ROI +11%91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 71% of 7)17% (won 39% of 18)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%31% (won 92% of 38)9% (won 67% of 9)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 100% of 2)46% (won 89% of 56)6% (won 100% of 6)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 100% of 6)17% (won 100% of 20)68% (won 100% of 70)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.