PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Philwoslevaluv0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (36–38, n=74)47% (125–143, n=268)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL—$27K$19.3M$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #777was PM monthly #851was PM monthly #715PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=163—
Settled positions, side won—89% of 38 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 0% of 1)0% (won 0% of 5)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 83% of 12)42% (won 47% of 535)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 96% of 25)57% (won 51% of 729)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%0% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.