PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)89% (360–44, n=404)50% (1–1, n=2)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)
Consensus PnL$7.9K$144K$13.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #730Hand-pickedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)75% (15 of 20 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 383 at avg 52¢, ROI +42%80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 71% of 7)0%10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 95)0%22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢73% (won 95% of 279)0%36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 2)100% (won 80% of 10)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.