PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NoMoreMister00gringo00beachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)75% (391–131, n=522)75% (6–2, n=8)69% (43–19, n=62)63% (379–225, n=604)
Consensus PnL-$12K$3.5M$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #439was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #88
Sides with the consensus91% (10 of 11 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—0%3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—0%29% (won 56% of 62)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 52% of 114)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.