PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NiNo999GoalLineGhostlukibazdonauki754humbleboy
Record (consensus markets)89% (448–56, n=504)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)65% (316–170, n=486)67% (386–194, n=580)
Consensus PnL$9.6M$26.8M$76K$172K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #985PM monthly #133was PM monthly #294PM monthly #256
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)100% (2 of 2 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic——Tennis −2 pts, n=28—
Settled positions, side won90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%67% of 337 at avg 57¢, ROI +14%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 81% of 37)9% (won 94% of 286)15% (won 35% of 51)5% (won 47% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 85% of 197)11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 58% of 73)42% (won 60% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 94% of 244)22% (won 99% of 697)31% (won 60% of 105)45% (won 75% of 279)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 96% of 24)58% (won 100% of 1787)32% (won 95% of 108)8% (won 92% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.