PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)47% (224–250, n=474)47% (75–84, n=159)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$317K$60K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #973was PM monthly #599PM monthly #491PM monthly #271
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)24% (won 45% of 75)18% (won 11% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)35% (won 76% of 111)38% (won 45% of 73)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)36% (won 85% of 113)32% (won 60% of 62)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)4% (won 100% of 14)11% (won 86% of 22)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.