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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMMDebosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121allen114
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)91% (1259–124, n=1383)82% (46–10, n=56)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$79K$10K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #973Hand-pickedPM monthly #470was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)80% (37 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13Weather −6 pts, n=50——
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)5% (won 9% of 92)32% (won 31% of 16)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)2% (won 31% of 32)4% (won 50% of 2)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)3% (won 57% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)91% (won 98% of 1701)62% (won 94% of 31)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSSCCAAMMDebosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121allen114
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $54K——Yes $46K