PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NT.998Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121Gooooooollllllllll
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)82% (46–10, n=56)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$79K$10K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #901Hand-pickedPM monthly #470PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)80% (37 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50——
Settled positions, side won—91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 9% of 92)32% (won 31% of 16)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 31% of 32)4% (won 50% of 2)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 57% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 98% of 1701)62% (won 94% of 31)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNT.998Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121Gooooooollllllllll
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
LYON $1——Gen.G $5.0K