PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NT.998Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121Username2133
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)82% (46–10, n=56)47% (8–9, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$79K$10K$79K
Tracked asPM monthly #901Hand-pickedPM monthly #470PM monthly #613
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)80% (37 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (10 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50——
Settled positions, side won—91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 9% of 92)32% (won 31% of 16)0%
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 31% of 32)4% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 57% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 98% of 1701)62% (won 94% of 31)61% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNT.998Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121Username2133
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
LYON $1——Gen.G $15K