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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NT.998 | Debosnys | chriszyy3 | allen114 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (1259–124, n=1383) | 96% (234–11, n=245) | 82% (163–37, n=200) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $79K | $51K | $155K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #901 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 80% (37 of 46 open) | 100% (14 of 14 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=50 | Crypto −2 pts, n=39 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 251 at avg 97¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 31% of 32) | 1% (won 50% of 2) | 3% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 3% (won 57% of 51) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 16% (won 87% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 91% (won 98% of 1701) | 98% (won 98% of 245) | 78% (won 98% of 213) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NT.998 | Debosnys | chriszyy3 | allen114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.5K | Yes $46K |