PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MarkramEgorkasxx0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140PatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)88% (35–5, n=40)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL—$22K$1.2M$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #938was PM monthly #904was PM monthly #77was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 3)0%14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 44% of 18)47% (won 100% of 15)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—30% (won 84% of 19)31% (won 100% of 10)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—37% (won 91% of 23)22% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.