PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357tradecraft
Record (consensus markets)57% (524–389, n=913)49% (1982–2072, n=4054)
Consensus PnL$598K$916K
Tracked asPM monthly #73PM monthly #282
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1535, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=103, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=515, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNBA −1 pts, n=279—
Settled positions, side won57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 25% of 114)31% (won 10% of 712)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 54% of 418)17% (won 46% of 401)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 63% of 312)18% (won 77% of 421)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 113)33% (won 96% of 761)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.