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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LaminionYamalBreakTheBankpleaseplease123joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)44% (1703–2131, n=3834)45% (542–652, n=1194)49% (345–353, n=698)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$16K$10.6M$3.2M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #946PM monthly #1was PM monthly #92PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)90% (146 of 163 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=556—MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won44% of 4195 at avg 44¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 20% of 933)10% (won 82% of 56)0% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 41% of 1646)36% (won 98% of 198)38% (won 43% of 266)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 1379)35% (won 99% of 191)61% (won 54% of 426)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 81% of 237)19% (won 100% of 107)0%18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLaminionYamalBreakTheBankpleaseplease123joseph00677
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $1.7K——