PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBBUsername2133SocialistaMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (8–9, n=17)63% (2552–1482, n=4034)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$72K$4.0K$557K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991PM monthly #677was PM monthly #984was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)67% (12 of 18 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +3 pts n=2533, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=968, ROI +6%
  • MMA +6 pts n=331, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −4 pts, n=71Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—97% of 37 at avg 76¢, ROI −5%67% of 4197 at avg 64¢, ROI +6%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—0%12% (won 22% of 515)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 45% of 591)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 12)27% (won 65% of 1129)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—62% (won 96% of 23)47% (won 87% of 1962)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLTandBBUsername2133SocialistaMEPP
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $930—Yes $9.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $930—Yes $7.0K