PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBBPatienceCapitalMEPP0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)77% (10–3, n=13)47% (41–46, n=87)65% (344–184, n=528)no settled market
Consensus PnL$143K$475K$558K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #269was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position82% (70 of 85 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +48 pts n=32, ROI +45%
  • NBA +39 pts n=19, ROI +49%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%82% of 60 at avg 40¢, ROI +46%66% of 768 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 42% of 12)20% (won 14% of 151)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)40% (won 92% of 24)11% (won 34% of 82)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)40% (won 92% of 24)19% (won 66% of 144)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%51% (won 93% of 391)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.