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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LTandBB | MEPP | PatienceCapital | NiNo999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (10–3, n=13) | 65% (344–184, n=528) | 47% (41–46, n=87) | 45% (551–664, n=1215) |
| Consensus PnL | $143K | $558K | $475K | -$502K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | was PM monthly #959 + pinned | was PM monthly #269 | was PM monthly #985 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 82% (70 of 85 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% | 66% of 768 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 82% of 60 at avg 40¢, ROI +46% | 90% of 616 at avg 50¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 14% of 151) | 20% (won 42% of 12) | 8% (won 76% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 11% (won 34% of 82) | 40% (won 92% of 24) | 39% (won 87% of 242) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 19% (won 66% of 144) | 40% (won 92% of 24) | 48% (won 94% of 298) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 51% (won 93% of 391) | 0% | 4% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.