PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBB0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738UnknownpoluyMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (516–77, n=593)49% (76–78, n=154)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$759K$3.3K$557K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #735was PM monthly #885was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
  • Esports +43 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • NBA +27 pts n=16, ROI +29%
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=22Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%78% of 97 at avg 48¢, ROI +37%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 58% of 12)9% (won 67% of 9)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 87% of 166)45% (won 77% of 44)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 91% of 465)41% (won 80% of 40)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 94% of 66)4% (won 100% of 4)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.