PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand7BENFICAAmaxiplayerjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (14–4, n=18)80% (615–154, n=769)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$36K$74K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #212Hand-pickedPM monthly #623was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Crypto −11 pts, n=10—Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—87% of 52 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%80% of 668 at avg 76¢, ROI +4%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 0% of 3)11% (won 21% of 76)14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 53% of 58)5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 100% of 4)9% (won 65% of 57)5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 95% of 43)71% (won 95% of 477)75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand7BENFICAAmaxiplayerjesterthegoose
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $4.8K——