PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand7BENFICAA0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006rated
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (14–4, n=18)63% (39–23, n=62)46% (227–267, n=494)
Consensus PnL—$36K-$1.0K-$1.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #212Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #997Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position39% (12 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Crypto −11 pts, n=10Tennis −2 pts, n=77MLB −2 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won—87% of 52 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 0% of 3)1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 75% of 268)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 0% of 2)0%1% (won 65% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 100% of 4)0%2% (won 90% of 100)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 95% of 43)99% (won 97% of 76)92% (won 100% of 4646)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand7BENFICAA0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006rated
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $4.8K——