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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand7melganis88MNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)no settled market79% (1034–278, n=1312)49% (659–677, n=1336)88% (488–65, n=553)
Consensus PnL—$56K$528K$9.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #210Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #629was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)71% (29 of 41 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=71Mentions −14 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—20% (won 7% of 324)27% (won 18% of 337)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 41% of 99)36% (won 58% of 455)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 70% of 125)30% (won 75% of 371)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—67% (won 97% of 1112)7% (won 87% of 94)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand7melganis88MNiNo999
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $49——