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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| franeotb | texastechbooster | noreasapa | SmallFishInWhaleStomach | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (48–26, n=74) | 47% (134–154, n=288) | 93% (3539–260, n=3799) | 89% (124–15, n=139) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $80K | $139K | $97K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #940 | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #961 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −9 pts, n=46 | Science −3 pts, n=22 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=45 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 3591 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 157 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 70% of 10) | 18% (won 18% of 44) | 6% (won 13% of 212) | 8% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 17) | 35% (won 47% of 88) | 2% (won 51% of 55) | 8% (won 62% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 98% of 45) | 40% (won 53% of 101) | 1% (won 72% of 39) | 9% (won 64% of 14) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 75) | 7% (won 88% of 17) | 91% (won 100% of 3285) | 75% (won 100% of 117) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | franeotb | texastechbooster | noreasapa | SmallFishInWhaleStomach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $5.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |