PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JoofoxSineNooneEIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)66% (63–32, n=95)57% (807–599, n=1406)67% (476–237, n=713)
Consensus PnL$22K$701K$10.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #629PM monthly #165PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)79% (50 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won70% of 89 at avg 61¢, ROI +11%83% of 1062 at avg 54¢, ROI +18%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 29% of 7)6% (won 63% of 59)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 62% of 21)35% (won 76% of 374)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 28)43% (won 88% of 455)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 94% of 33)16% (won 94% of 174)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.