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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| franeotb | yoyoyoyoer | noreasapa | SmallFishInWhaleStomach | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (48–26, n=74) | 57% (48–36, n=84) | 93% (3539–260, n=3799) | 89% (124–15, n=139) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $8.1K | $139K | $97K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #359 | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #961 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Science −3 pts, n=22 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=45 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 58% of 81 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 93% of 3591 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 157 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 70% of 10) | 17% (won 14% of 14) | 6% (won 13% of 212) | 8% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 17) | 23% (won 47% of 19) | 2% (won 51% of 55) | 8% (won 62% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 98% of 45) | 26% (won 71% of 21) | 1% (won 72% of 39) | 9% (won 64% of 14) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 75) | 33% (won 78% of 27) | 91% (won 100% of 3285) | 75% (won 100% of 117) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.