PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Johnny2d5jsmith-326UnknownpoluyPatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (21–11, n=32)49% (76–78, n=154)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL—$2.0K$3.3K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #958PM monthly #748was PM monthly #885was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • NBA +27 pts n=16, ROI +29%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—93% of 46 at avg 91¢, ROI +8%78% of 97 at avg 48¢, ROI +37%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 25% of 4)9% (won 67% of 9)14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—0%45% (won 77% of 44)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—0%41% (won 80% of 40)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 100% of 42)4% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.