PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Johnny2d5avo-edgeUsername2133PatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (328–384, n=712)47% (8–9, n=17)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL—$20K$72K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #958was PM monthly #918PM monthly #657was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%97% of 37 at avg 76¢, ROI −5%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 64% of 53)0%14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 97% of 134)5% (won 100% of 2)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 96% of 71)32% (won 100% of 12)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 100% of 105)62% (won 96% of 23)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.