PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Johnny2d5Lula.desistiuUnknownpoluyMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (33–5, n=38)49% (76–78, n=154)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$3.2K$3.3K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #958was PM monthly #966was PM monthly #885was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • NBA +27 pts n=16, ROI +29%
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=22Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—93% of 27 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%78% of 97 at avg 48¢, ROI +37%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 50% of 2)9% (won 67% of 9)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 89% of 9)45% (won 77% of 44)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 12)41% (won 80% of 40)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 4)4% (won 100% of 4)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.