PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
IDontLikeRiskbeachboy400gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)97% (526–15, n=541)69% (43–19, n=62)75% (6–2, n=8)63% (372–218, n=590)
Consensus PnL$26K$5.8M$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #575was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #161
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +6 pts n=11, ROI +27%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=122NBA −4 pts, n=96——
Settled positions, side won98% of 496 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)0%9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 8)29% (won 57% of 63)0%55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 71% of 7)55% (won 53% of 118)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up97% (won 99% of 479)13% (won 86% of 29)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.