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A2
No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #578 · no open consensus position
0xa2dd75ac...0353e1b2Polymarket
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #578
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
496 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 98¢- NFL
+6 pts
side won 91% of 11 · avg entry 85¢
ROI +27%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 98% of 122 at an average 100¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 50% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 71% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 97%(won 99% of 479)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.