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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | one8tyfive | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 70% (7–3, n=10) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $290K | $165K | $10K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 | was PM monthly #894 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (81 of 133 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | — | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | — | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | one8tyfive | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | Flyers $4.4K | — | Flyers $176 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $1.3K | — | Senators $829 | — |