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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NatoAlfista | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814 | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3299–3527, n=6826) | 47% (157–176, n=333) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | $32K | -$443K | $912K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #299 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (32 of 68 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −4 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1999 at avg 46¢, ROI +42% | 48% of 322 at avg 47¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 221) | 16% (won 13% of 52) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 966) | 40% (won 45% of 128) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 97% of 802) | 33% (won 60% of 106) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 80% of 10) | 11% (won 78% of 36) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.